Hot Girl Arbitrage: the chicest things on sale right now
ft. 40+ EIHG core picks <3
I’ll never forget my first time.. learning about arbitrage (“where someone takes advantage of price differences for the same asset in different markets to generate a profit”). The economic principle IMMEDIATELY made sense to me because it’s basically shopping a sale (none of my profs LOVED that).. or when you get VAT back in Europe lol.
I’ve since been on many a date where a man in finance has tried to sell their arbitrage job to me as an “incredibly complex investment strategy”, to which I think… the girls on fashionphile are already doing this w/ barenia birkin 25s.. but ok :D.
Since it’s 2025, and my mom taught me that we (women) can do anything we want, I’ve decided that we’re formally taking that word back and putting it to use where she BELONGS: Welcome to our new ™️ column for dedicated sales coverage, entitled Hot Girl Arbitrage !!!
^the value assessment of arbitrage LOL — jil sander, bicester village (UK outlet)
The move to formalize our sale edits was based on your (glowingly positive !!) feedback following the EIHG beauty letter during moda operandi’s sale a couple of weeks ago. I received so many email replies and DMs with a desire for MORE sale coverage via TM.
Which makes me so happy because i’ve always believed that shopping sales is one of life’s greatest pleasures…. like the thrill of discovering something dizzying at a price that feels too good to be true??? VERY exciting!!!! And on that note, before we continue, I want to be clear on a few guiding principles as we move forward:
Every pick will always be EHG/EIHG certified (read about that here). I’ll only ever surface EIHG-aligned brands, and things that have been stamped with that aura. My only exception is for picks relevant to Goop-adjacency, but that’s a subthread of the EHG/EIHG lineage anyway LOL.
Discernment is our sacred covenant!!! There are lots of beautiful things that go on sale everyday, but not everything is WORTH it, even at sale price. This is my lens of what’s worth it to ME, but check your gut to see if it’s worth it to YOU. Perhaps the discount isn’t substantial enough to entice, and even that’s worth celebrating!! We are never ever despy over here!!!!
On that note^^ i’m only going to talk about sales that are compelling! And i fear that the majority of sales are… simply not. So if you have a request, send me a note or plug it in our gc, however, i will always reserve the right to veto!!!
To triple confirm that we’re aligned on ethos: the thrill of a sale is in the mystical finds — aka the things you’d have gladly bought for full price, but by the law of the invisible hand, you get to walk into a new portal where for a short window of time, your desires exist at a DISCOUNT (arbitrage). We buy things because they’re fundamentally GOOD + they happen to be on sale, not the other way around.
Alright, that feels good!!!! Let’s get into some FUN!!!!
As
hilariously pointed out — it feels like the entire internet is 40% off rn. Over the past week, I have peeled through maybe 20K items across Khaite (nothing felt.. meaningful), The Webster (nothing felt worth it and/or EIHG-core), SSENSE (two picks, below), Net-a-Porter (BIG LOTTO ENERGY, picks below), Violet Grey (sauced), and Bergdorf’s (snooze, no picks.. but according to , there’s a hush hush Phoebe Philo sale happening IRL.. text ur SA!!). Lastly — a member of the TM gc highlighted the Nour Hammour online sample sale, so we have a bonus pick there !!🌀Let’s honor our roots & kick off w/ beauty:
VIOLET GREY: they’re doing a “put it in the bag” event wherein the whole site is eligible for a tiered discount based on how much you spend (e.g., 15% off for $250, up to 25% off for $1,000+). Here’s a niche & pared down EIHG shortlist of like DESERT ISLAND picks — aka must haves that everyone is feral for/whispering about RN —

Starting with BREAKING NEWS: Violet Grey just launched Madame Grey, a $1,100 perfume (extrait de parfum) that’s being sold in a limited capacity (only 1,100 vessels)…. The insane part is that they aren’t listing any of the perfume’s notes online. So if you can’t make it to a Violet Grey store to smell it IRL, the only thing you’ll ever know about what it smells like is per the website’s “It smells like every girl who ever broke your heart.” Ominous, but im intrigued..
What’s even crazier??? VG launched a massive (3.4 oz) bottle of hair perfume with the same scent….. for only $100??? AKA the same-ish product 1/10th the price??? I got my hands on both perfumes yesterday (TY Hirshleifers), which I sprayed LIBERALLY in my hair and on my inner wrist before departing for
’s outdoor garden party!!!SO WHAT DOES IT SMELL LIKE TARIRO??? Sweeter than you’d think… but not entirely unique??? Like you’ve definitely smelled something adjacent before. NOTES: It’s the axis of fresh (soapy & powdery and maybe a little salty in a summery/mildly aquatic way), floral (maybe geranium or hints of jasmine/lilly of the valley.. dark horse would be white peony), creamy (a little sandalwood and perhaps a little white tea… it’s like very creamy!!!), with HINTS of sweet citrus (I think mandarin… compliments the creaminess) and a lil sweet vanilla. There’s maybe a dash of patchouli, and it gets more powdery and like fresh/soapy as it dries down.
I think you’d initially expect the woman who broke your heart to smell like tantalizing + dark… oudy/musky/woody/spicy… or like a heady-gourmandy blend… but this is the polar opposite. Which actually tracks, because I think the heartbreak that cuts deepest is from the person who never leads with the fact that they have the capacity to eviscerate you. Madame Grey smells like an intoxicating love, yes, but the kind that stems from letting your guard down and getting diabolically trounced on by the sweetest fairy in the land. Even worse, you can’t seem to hate her after she leaves — you cling to the sweetly unassuming scent that lingers on your pillows, now mixed with the saltiness of your tears, because it still smells like safety, trust, and vulnerability. CRUSHING.
I will also say, after we’d finished dousing the hirschleifers’ violet grey outpost with the scent, a 50ish year old woman came up and asked what is that fragrance? And it looked like she had STRONG intent to buy. I could see this becoming the new baccarat rouge for women over 45!!! Lily Vanderwoodsen’s daytime scent if I may.
STRATEGY: If i’m being honest, I’d have been pissed if I spent $1,100 with a promise to overtly break a man’s heart and it’s more Water Lilly than s3x siren LMFAO. I will say that the $100 (3.4oz!) hair scent is a brilliant pick. It lasted just as long as the perfume did!! Which at first I was like how dumb for them to have launched the SAME SCENT for a fraction of the price at the SAME TIME. Like doesn’t that immediately cheapen the value of the $1,100 bottle??? Until my strategy brain turned on (thank god) and I realized that the $1,100 perfume is simply a red herring and the vehicle for this vertical’s profitability RELIES on selling that hair mist. Which is fckn BRILLIANT because every aspirational consumer of the $1,100 perfume will be sprinting to get their hands on something that feels priced almost too good to be true (like you CAN spray hair perfume on your body…..). If the extrait de parfum is for lily vanderwoodson and her highland park/beverly hills/greenwhich contingents, then the hair perfume is the west village girl’s dream dupe. (FYIW — I bought the hair perfume… no regrets lmfao, I feel flirty and powerful).
welcome home, champ
QUICKER HITS 4 VIOLET GREY SALE PICKS:
This is the tinted moisturizer EIHGs are hoarding for summer. Apparently it’s so good it’s baptismal (leaving one feeling refreshed, anew, and anointed). Ppl are still gatekeeping this, so it’s worth giving a whirl if you get a rush from being EARLY and you like the idea of having skin that looks rich enough to have been bestowed its own trust.
If you read the OG beauty edit, then you understand how feral EHGs/EIHGs are for this exfoliant set from Lilis. I hate to report that it’s as good as they say it is. I’m never turning back, my skin is smoother than a baby!!!! So so sooo timely for summer!!!
All Victoria Beckham beauty is insane, but I’d start w/ the augustinus bader infused concealer pen + this sexy af fragrance if you really wanna meet Your Destiny.
This is the best mascara ever. Slept on. Not discussed enough. Doesn’t flake, doesn’t smudge, volumes AND lengthens and my eyelashes never feel dry!!!!
The one makeup product that I treat like skincare (aka I wear even on no makeup days LOL). Melts like BUTTER, glows like the SUN.
If you love a roller perfume for travel, start here!!! I will say it smells GOOPY — like a chic wellness retreat in the Amazon. I love it, I wear to bed sometimes and ALWAYS to freshen up on a long flight. It’s calming too!!!! ++ another pick that goes in the travel bag!!!!
Lastly — a stealth pick — THESE ARE THE BEST SHEET+ UNDEREYE MASKS OF ALL TIME; I KEEP TELLING U AND I WON’T STOP TELLING U!!!!!
🌀THE SSENSE SALE: up to 50% off
If you are a TM OG then you know how long I’ve been searching for the perfect kitten heel, pointy toe boot. I’ve had these toteme ones in my cart since… October???? My gut said do NOT buy them full price, so they’ve been a strong HOLD. I feel like if I survived winter without them, IDK, but perhaps I’ll regret.. we’ll see where the cookie crumbles.
E(I)HGs love Sophie Buhai and I get WHY. A gorgiana summer necklace (that also somehow reads winter??)!!!
🌀THE HOLY GRAIL: NET-A-PORTER PRIVATE SALE (up to 40% off)**
**to access the private sale you need to be logged into your NAP account, they are segmenting the sale for those with silver rewards and above!!**
TLDR: this sh*t is GOOOOOOD.
If you haven’t heard, finding perfect poplin pants = the hottest summer commodity amongst this elusive hot girl cohort. These white ones (from an EIHG-beloved brand!!) are SEISMIC
If you’re shopping for Cowboy Carter, I fear you neeeeeed to consider these CHIC af cowboy boots from Gabriela Hearst…. like guys I don’t even rlly LIKE cowboy boots, but I want these🫠🫠🫠🫠🫠🫠
No no no no no are you KIDDING w/ this Lisa Yang Butter Yellow BRUSHED Cashmere Cardigan???? AKA all of my keywords???? YES i’d like to walk around looking like a lil cutie bby chick!!!!!! Like imagine if worn over the shoulder with a white poplin pant + white baby tee + (stacked) juju silver cuffs + thick flops for a casual summer dinner on a breezy night!!!! IN ! MY ! FCKN ! CART !!!!!!!!
Idk guys, recently i’ve been feeling influenced on these poolshoe-9000s … ridiculous in the sense that a cartoon wannabe villain def wore them, but the red???!!!! sigh.
These are a freaky lil heel for summer….. I’m obsessed? Like there’s something restrained yet sexy about them…..
THE leopard valentino jacket (that we talked about BEFORE^ Morgan Stewart wore in Paris hehe) is on sale and I am delulu… so she’s in my cart rn HAHAHA
Ok guys you know how I’ve been maddeningly obsessed with (stealth EIHG CORE) Bally boat shoes??? Like I’ve been bitting my inner cheek to nOT buy for the past 9 months and noooowwww they are on sale just in time 4 summer :D. Sadly, the main color that I have lost sleep over is still full price…. but I currently have these in my cart, LMK WHAT U THINK: burgundy; CHOCO BROWN SUEDE (arguably more fall tho)!!!!!
If fall was about the chocolate brown button down, then summer is about the pink one…. If you haven’t seen it yet, HMU in July ;). This billowy pink silk (!!!!) one from a stealth EIHG brand??? Paired with a cropped + tailored white linen short this summer???? Say LESS.
I have never been influenced by these until I saw no less than 3 chic downtown queens wearing the burgundy ones with perfect pairs of vintage 501s and I UNDERSTOOD. Like throwing w/ a vintagey plain white tee, cord headphones, light jewelry (perhaps just rings?), and THESE??? It just fckn works.
These feel like a Duchess of Sussex at polo pant and i… want them.
I love satin shoes bc WHERE are you wearing them. And I think that’s kinda the point. These are stunning in such a luxurious copper hue. With a long, white poplin skirt!! come ON!!!
The clutch that unites EHG x EIHG’s (esp during wedding szn)!!!! Many options are on sale, but this would be my pick.
Ugh I just really love this cropped barn jacket.
The EIHGs’ favorite (thin, silky) summer long sleeve… wear at a casual beachside dinner with a bikini top layered underneath + a silver hot girl statement necklace
My favorite proenza snow boots that earned me MANY a compliment at my goop-adjacent mom Tribeca workout class are now 40% off — lucky YOU
Ummm ok???? what a perfect jacket … I envision on cool bk heights moms who would layer over their pre-pilates athleisure for school drop off??? LFG
EHGs love &daughter and I loooove this polo sweater!!! two perfect colors combined. Also I have this sweater in a punchy, blue undertoned red that gets me compliments oFTEN!!!
Juuust one of those perfect spring (mohair) sweaters. It rlly gives Monet……. actually? I’d strongly recommend WEARING this sweater to the met whilst you stare at some monet — tbh art meeting form, ha!
Some of THEEEEE dries sneakers are 40% off: gold, pink, red snakeprint
Ahhhhh, the sweater that united NYC’s rich mommies (UES x Gramercy x Tribeca x WV x BK Heights, etc…) <3
This summer dress is just sooooo fckn chic, and soooooo fckn TIMELESS — strong SOF x Hamptons aura
This is just one of those staple basics that everyone needs but you never remember to buy until it’s too late & you’re now feeling cold asf at ur outdoor summer dinner :) :) :) :) ….. and might I suggest another summer sweater from this classic EIHG-core brand in the perfect summer blue + the cashmere is so thin thin thin…. Both are in my CART !!!!!!!
A pair of buttery ivory pinstripe POPLIN PANTS???? From a stealth EIHG brand???? Say less…. (wear with a baby tee and chunky silver jewelry)
I’m hearing from an EHG in my life that these are just PHENOMENAL pants, had to include!!!!
WDYM suzie kondi and her perfect large spools of cashmere jooshi sweaters are 40% OFF RIGHT NOW?? That almost never happens. Softest cashmere you will ever touch, and a STRONG EIHG throw. I’d hit pink orrrrr this zany one that would be so perfect for bringing life to an early flight <3
Very few things are so compellingly perfect that they need no explainataion but this…. I fear you’ll immediately get its power or… you won’t
I have this staud sweater and it’s perfect loungewear. Cozy and soft but also incredibly flattering. I shrug it on over my fave leset tee and make a cinnamon latte in a big mug and I feel like Maslow was writing the tippy top of his needs-hierarchy about ME (ha!).
BONUS FLAG — Nour Hammour Sample Sale:
if you’re in the market for a suede trench… this one (in merlot) made my chest clench.
Well my sweet fairy princess angels, it is time I bid thee adieu. We’ll be queuing up more shopping content over the next week or so, as we ramp into SUMMER STARTER PACKS and hopefully another Hot Girl Arbitrage dedicated to the MDW sales!!! LMK what are MUSTS to buy because I am failing to edit my cart to a.. normal.. volume hahahahaha. I love you so so much!! Endlessly much!!!! I hope you had a calm and easeful and delightful start to your week <3 <3 <3 <3
TALK SOON;
TM x
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I bought the Lilis Peel. You've influenced me.
The recent cyber attack has left the girls rabid for M&S cashmere. The site is still down for online orders so you can now only buy it in store. That, plus the limited stock and POS confusion, has made shopping the spring line unexpectedly chic.
I read this very exclusive newsletter drinking a very exclusive tea I know you'd appreciate, if you haven't already tried it. Loewe created a tea to go with their presentation at Salone de Mobile and as someone who generally dislikes most teas, it's actually lovely. https://www.postcardteas.com/site/product/fiori-e-sapori/
I think I clicked every single link….🙈 want it all but in most curious now about that f*cking hair fragrance!! I also was invited to the 2 day Moda 40% off sale last week and I did some damageeeee, or as they say in French, damaje.